Cheltenham - At The Races

17:30 Cheltenham 15 Mar 2019

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (4YO plus)

Winner £43,330 - 24 ran

7

2m 4f 56y

Good to Soft

View Course Guide

Weighed In

Gary Nutting
by Gary Nutting

Published 5th March

The latest weather forecasts suggest ITS ALL GUESSWORK might get his requisite goodish ground later in the week and he perhaps has his best chance of getting into the weights in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle.

Gordon Elliott’s seven-year-old is a leading fancy for the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase but is a shade further down the weights for that race compared to the Festival finale.

The seven-year-old is also prominent in the betting for the Ultima Handicap Chase, but that’s on day one for which good to soft or easier ground is assured whatever the weather (watering would take place if necessary).

Its All Guesswork attained an official mark of 130 at the end of an autumn/summer campaign over fences, yet is rated 7lb lower over hurdles in Ireland.

He might prove the value in a strongly-run 2m4f handicap hurdle for a stable that has won the last two renewals with 12-1 and 11-1 shots.

The handicapper has allotted him a rating of 133 for both spheres at Cheltenham, so his market price for both chases is understandable but if he doesn’t get in those races, this alternative becomes interesting.

The gelding’s dam only ever raced on the Flat or over hurdles, not entirely surprising given she’s from the family of Park Hill winner Delilah and very smart hurdler Romancer.

His most recent run was back over hurdles, at Punchestown a couple of weeks ago after a four-month break, and he shaped well under an exaggerated hold-up ride to finish third over three miles.

That effort had all the hallmarks of a Festival prep run and if he doesn’t make the cut for his two chase engagements here, he might prove the value in a strongly-run 2m4f handicap hurdle for a stable that has won the last two renewals with 12-1 and 11-1 shots.

Gary's Recommended Bets (scale 1-5 points):

MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS’ HANDICAP HURDLE (Friday 15th March)

1pt win ITS ALL GUESSWORK (20-1 Coral, Ladbrokes, Boylesports, 16-1 bet365 - all NRNB bookmakers)

Gary provides regular ante-post updates on Twitter. His username is @horsetraderinfo

Previous Winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2018 Soft 23 Blow By Blow 7 11 10 144 1-32161 22 days G Elliott D Meyler 11/1 5:22.10
2017 Good 23 Champagne Classic 6 11 3 138 123213 22 days G Elliott J J Slevin 12/1 4:55.80
2016 Good 24 Ibis Du Rheu 5 11 7 139 164-235 41 days P Nicholls (69 miles) J Sherwood 14/1 4:52.00
2015 Soft 21 Killultagh Vic 6 11 1 135 16-5123 47 days W P Mullins L P Dempsey 7/1 5:03.00
2014 Good 24 Don Poli 5 11 8 143 2-211 22 days W P Mullins M P Fogarty 12/1 4:48.10
2013 Soft 23 Salubrious 6 11 8 141 71-4251 40 days P Nicholls (69 miles) H Derham 16/1 5:18.50
2012 Good 24 Attaglance 6 11 6 139 8135P1 26 days J M Jefferson (194 miles) H Haynes 20/1 4:51.50
2011 Good 23 Sir Des Champs 5 11 6 134 63061-1 52 days W P Mullins E Mullins 9/2 4:45.20
2010 Soft 24 Pause And Clause 6 11 10 137 30-445U 27 days Emma Lavelle (44 miles) J Farrelly 14/1 5:03.40
2009 Good to Soft 23 Andytown 6 11 5 133 03-4134 34 days N Henderson (51 miles) F de Giles 25/1 4:58.52